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MSCI Japan Equity Factor Models

Redefining the way models are constructed and delivered

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MSCI Japan Equity Factor Models

 

About Factors By MSCI

About Factors by MSCI

In investing, a factor is any characteristic that can explain the risk and return performance of an asset. Beginning with Barra in 1976, MSCI has researched factors to determine their effects on long-term equity performance. Our factor indexes and models, developed in consultation with the world’s largest investors, are backed by research based on four decades of factor data compiled by a 200+ global research team.

MSCI has been a leader in factors for over 40 years. Explore the history of MSCI factors below.

Factor Timeline

MSCI Factor Innovations
Academic Factor Milestones
 
 
 
 
1960 CAPM

The Capital Asset Pricing model attempted to measure how the risk of an investment may affect its expected return. The measurement of the sensitivity of a security to the broader market was called Beta


Developed by:
1961  Treynor
1964  Sharpe
1965  Litner
1966  Mossin

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1969 MSCI begins licensing indexes

MSCI was a pioneer in developing the market for global equity indexes. We began licensing our first equity index products in 1969

 
 
 
 
1972 Haugen & Heins

Refining CAPM to create low volatility factor investing, demonstrated that stock portfolios with lower volatility tend to produce higher returns on average

 
 
 
 
 
1975 Barra launch

Creation of the
multi-factor Barra risk models

 
 
1976 Stephen Ross / Rosenberg & Marathe
Stephen Ross

Introduced the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) - credited with original term "Factors" and
Low Volatility Theory

 
Rosenberg & Marathe

Academic Asset Pricing Literature and Practitioner risk factor modeling research

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1986 Chen, Ross, Roll

Suggested that Macroeconomic factors can systematically affect stock market returns

 
 
1987 Barra fixed income 1st gen

First generation Barra fixed income factor model launched

 
 
 
1989 GEM model 1st gen

First generation MSCI Global Equity Model (GEM) launched

 
 
 
 
1992 Fama & French

Expanded on the Rational Market Theory to demonstrate that company size and valuation factors are drivers of stock price

 
 
1993 Jegadeesh & Titman

Published first research on Momentum factor

 
 
1994 RiskMetrics launch

RiskMetrics methodology was launched by J.P. Morgan

 
 
 
 
1997 Carhart

Expanded on Fama-French three-factor model to include momentum factor, creating the Carhart four-factor model

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2004 Barra acquired

MSCI acquired Barra, a provider of portfolio risk analytics tools that launched its first risk analytics products in 1975

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2010 RiskMetrics Group acquired

MSCI acquired RiskMetrics Group, a leading provider of risk management and governance products and services.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2016 Barra fixed income 4th gen

Fourth generation Barra fixed income factor models launched

 
 
 
2018 MSCI Launches FaCS and Factor Box

MSCI launches MSCI FaCS and Factor Box, an industry standard and factor classification for consistent implementation and measurement for Factor Investing

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Elements of performance video

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Elements of performance: factors by MSCI

Factors are the building blocks of many portfolios. They are the elements capable of turning data points into actionable insights.

 

Download Transcript (PDF, 95.4 KB)

Factor Group

Factor groups

Factors have historically been identified as critical drivers of portfolio risk and return and can now be used to better inform the investment process. Factors may help investors meet their objectives such as reducing risk, increasing returns and enhancing diversification by providing a better understanding of risk and returns.

Factor group What it offers
Value
Relatively inexpensive stocks
Captures excess returns to stocks that have low prices relative to their fundamental value
Low size (small cap)
Smaller companies
Captures excess returns of smaller firms (by market capitalization) relative to their larger counterparts
Momentum
Rising stocks
Reflects excess returns to stocks with stronger past performance
Low volatility
Lower risk stocks
Captures excess returns to stocks with lower than average volatility, beta, and/or idiosyncratic risk
Dividend yield
Cash flow paid out
Captures excess returns to stocks that have higher-than-average dividend yields
Quality
Sound balance sheet stocks
Captures excess returns to stocks that are characterized by low debt, stable earnings growth, and other “quality” metrics
Growth
Measure of change in sales and earnings
Measures company growth prospects using historical earnings, sales and predicted earnings
Liquidity
Size-adjusted trading volume
Captures common variations in stock trading volumes relative to available shares trading


Want more information on factors by MSCI? Have an MSCI representative reach out to you.

Factor investing parallax

Factor indexes

Factor indexes

MSCI factor indexes are designed to help institutional investors seeking to capture the excess return of factors in a cost-effective and transparent manner. Factor indexes can be used to implement factors through a passive portfolio. A factor index can also bring transparency to factor allocations, helping to alleviate the well-known problem of manager style drift and may have positive implications for risk management.

Due to the historical cyclicality of factors, investors may choose to diversify away from a single factor but not want to dilute their exposure to their targeted factors or change the risk profile of their portfolios. MSCI’s Multiple-Factor Indexes provide building blocks that allow investors to assemble multiple-factor allocations based on their objectives for risk and return, their investment beliefs on individual factors, and their investability constraints.

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Click on any of the factor icons below to learn more about the MSCI single factors:
 

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Learn more about MSCI Factor Indexes below or read more about factors by MSCI in our Additional Resources.

MSCI Factor Indexes are rules-based, transparent indexes targeting stocks with favorable factor characteristics – as backed by robust academic findings and empirical results. They are designed for simple implementation, replicability, and use for both traditional passive and active mandates.

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Investors may want to diversify away from just a single factor without diluting the strength of their exposure to their targeted factors. These indexes combine four well-researched factors — value, momentum, size and quality — with a control mechanism designed to keep volatility in line with the market.

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As factor allocations and ESG objectives become simultaneous requirements for many asset owners, MSCI Factor ESG Target Indexes are designed to allow clients to develop factor strategies while also integrating ESG considerations.

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For large-scale asset managers and asset owners for whom investability is critical, narrow factor indexes may not have sufficient liquidity and capacity due to their concentrated nature. The MSCI Factor Tilt Indexes have higher investability requirements by tilting market capitalization weights of securities based on the relevant factor score.

INTRODUCING OUR LATEST FACTOR INNOVATION – MSCI FACS

MSCI FaCS TM – A common language for implementing factor investing strategies

Based on MSCI’s Global Equity Factor Model, MSCI FaCS includes eight factor groups, and 16 gactors.

Factor investing is transforming the way investors construct and manage portfolios. The increasing popularity of factor investing can create the need for standards.

Beginning with Barra, MSCI has helped establish a common language to explain risk and return through the lens of factors.

MSCI FaCS and MSCI Factor Box are designed to provide the structure and standardization for evaluating, implementing and reporting factor exposures.

Download the factsheet (PDF, 535 KB) (opens in a new tab)
 

MSCI FaCS and factor box video

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MSCI FaCS and Factor Box

MSCI has been setting global industry standards for more than 40 years. Our obsession with data and new insights leads us to our latest factor innovation.

 

Download the transcript (PDF, 90.7 KB)

The FaCS report - ESG

Introducing Our Latest Factor Innovation - Part 2

MSCI FaCSTM


Factors have historically been key drivers of risk and return in equity portfolios. Our research (Roisenberg, 2017) suggests that industry, country, currency and style Factors account for approximately 55% of the active return of a sample of approximately 882 actively managed global mutual funds from September 2003 to December 2016. Within the Factor contribution, style Factors made up the largest portion of active returns – 35%.

MSCI FaCS creates a common language and set of definitions around factors to be used by a broader audience including asset owners, managers, advisors, consultants and investors. Investment managers can use the framework to analyze and report factor characteristics, while investors and consultants can use the data to compare funds using common factor standard definitions.

MSCI FaCS on funds


Investors who use factors to help construct and manage portfolios need a common standard in order to analyze funds and conduct due diligence. MSCI FaCS on funds provides further insight into factor exposures and allows investors to use a common language for evaluating and comparing ETFs and mutual funds through MSCI FaCS’s eight factor groups.

Download the factsheet for more information.

 
MSCI factor box


The Factor Box, powered by MSCI FaCS, creates a common language for factor investing. The Factor Box provides a visualization designed to easily compare factor exposures between funds and benchmarks. It includes factors that, have historically demonstrated excess market returns over the long run.

The MSCI Factor Box aims to help investors identify factor exposures compared to their intended benchmark. This may help investors make better informed decisions on fund selection, fund monitoring and holistic portfolio analysis based on their fund exposures and investment objectives.

 

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Factor models

Factor models

Whether building portfolios, implementing strategies, or measuring performance, MSCI helps clients identify and solve for implementing factors throughout the investment process. Our latest models include factors like sustainability, crowding and machine learning that helps investors better understand the characteristics that drive portfolio risk and performance as market conditions change. These factor models help:

  • Better understand the factors that drive portfolio risk and performance
  • Build more adaptive, resilient portfolios that reflect modern investor views
  • Access and customize solutions to suit your process

Read More about MSCI Equity Factor Models.

Download the brochure (PDF, 2.3 MB) (opens in a new tab)

To know about MSCI Factor Analytics solutions, click here.

Factor analytics quote

By 1976 Barra (now part of MSCI) had created sophisticated models that predicted stock returns based on many different risk factors.

Bionic Beta wins the 1970’s (Forbes, Feb 2014)

FACTOR INVESTING - EMPOWERING INVESTORS TO ACHIEVE BETTER OUTCOMES

Factor investing - empowering investors to achieve better outcomes

MSCI helps clients build, implement and measure factor-based strategies through consistent and transparent factor frameworks. As a leader in the application of factors for over 40+ years, MSCI, beginning with Barra invented a common language to explain risk and return through the lens of factors.

Explore the MSCI global factor framework interactive below which provides transparency in to our Global Equity Factor Model – Long Term Horizon (GEMLT):

MSCI Graphics

Momentum

Explains common variation in stock returns based on their performance over the trailing 12 months

Relative Strength

Non-lagged Relative Strength is first computed from the returns from the trailing 252 days

Historical Alpha

Non-lagged values of historical alpha are computed by the time-series regression

Dividend Yield

Captures differences in stock returns attributable to stock's trailing 12-month and predicted dividend-to-price ratios

Reported Dividend-
to-Price

Dividing the trailing 12-month dividend per share by the price at the last month end

Forecast Dividend-
to-Price

Dividing the 12-month forward-looking dividend per share (DPS) by the 
current price

Leverage

Captures common variation in stock returns due to differences in the level of company leverage

Investment Quality

Combination of measures that capture common variation in stock returns of companies experiencing rapid growth or contraction

Earnings Variability

Explains stock return differences due to variability in earnings and cash flows

Earnings Quality

Explains stock return differences due to uncertainty around company operating fundamentals and accrual components of earnings

Profitability

Combination of profitability measures that characterizes efficiency of a firm's 
operations and total activities

Debt-to-Assets

Current liabilities plus long-term debt divided by book value of total assets

Book Leverage

Book Value of Common Equity: Book value of preferred equity and book value of long-term debt

Market Leverage

Market Value of Common Equity: Book value of preferred equity and book value of long-term debt

Asset Growth

Annual reported company assets are regressed against time over the past five fiscal years

Capital Expenditure Growth

Annual reported company capital expenditures are regressed against time over the past five fiscal years

Issuance Growth

Annual reported company number of shares outstanding regressed against time over the past five fiscal years

Variability in Sales

Standard deviation of company reported annual sales of the last five fiscal years, divided by the average annual sales

Variability in Earnings

Standard deviation of company reported annual earnings over the last five fiscal years, divided by the average 
annual earnings

Variability in Cash Flow

Standard deviation of company annual cash flows of the last five fiscal years, divided by the average annual cash flow

Variation in Predicted EPS

Dividing the standard deviation of 12-month forward-looking earnings per share (EPS) estimates by the current price

Cash Earnings to Earnings

Difference between cash-earnings-to-price and earnings-to-price

Accruals - Balance Sheet Statement

Change in current assets net of cash, and less change in current liabilities net of short-term debt, less depreciation, standardized by total assets

Accruals C/F - Statement

Negative change in accounts receivable, inventories, accounts payable, accrued taxes, and other current assets/liabilities, less depreciation, standardized 
by total assets

Asset Turnover

Sales divided by total assets

Profitability

Sales minus cost of goods sold divided by total assets

Gross Margin

Sales minus cost of goods sold divided by sales

Return on Assets

Earnings divided by total assets

Liquidity

Captures common variations in stock returns due to the amount of relative trading and differences in the impact of trading on stock returns

Monthly Share Turnover

Log of the share turnover over 
the previous month

Quarterly Share Turnover

Log of the share turnover over 
the previous quarter

Annual Share Turnover

Log of the share turnover over 
the previous year

Annualized Traded Value Ratio

Daily traded value ratio (DTVR) is the volume divided by the number of shares

Residual Volatility

Captures relative volatility in stock returns. Consists of three descriptors: volatility of daily excess returns, volatility of daily residual returns, and cumulative range of the stock over the last 12 months

Beta

Explains common variations in stock returns due to different stock sensitivities to market or systematic risk that cannot be explained by the World factor

Historical Sigma

Volatility of the residual returns from historical 
beta regression

Daily Standard Deviation

Volatility of excess returns over past year

Cumulative Range

Cumulative excess log return over past specified months

Historical Beta

Slope coefficient from a time-series regression of stock excess returns, against the cap-weighted 
excess returns

Growth

Measures company growth prospects using sales growth and earnings growth over trailing five years and predicted earnings growth

Sales per Share Growth Rate

Annual reported sales per share are regressed against time over the past five fiscal years

Earnings per Share Growth Rate

Annual reported earnings per share are regressed against time over the past five fiscal years

Predicted Long-term Growth

Long-term (3-5 years) earnings growth forecasted by analysts

Book-to-Price

Calculated as the last reported book value of common equity divided by current market capitalization

Earnings Yield

Describes stock return differences due to various ratios of the company's earnings relative to its price

Long-Term Reversal

Explains common variation in returns related to a long-term (five years ex. recent thirteen months) stock price behavior

Book-to-Price

Last reported book value of common equity divided by current market capitalization

Reported Earnings-to-Price

Dividing the trailing 12-month earnings by the current market capitalization

Analyst-Predicted Earnings-to-Price

Dividing the 12-month forward-looking earnings by the current 
market capitalization

Cash Earnings-to-Price

Dividing the cash earnings of the previous fiscal year by the current 
market capitalization

Enterprise Multiple (EBITDA to EV)

Dividing the earnings before interest and taxes of the previous fiscal year by the current enterprise value (EV)

Long-Term Relative Strength

Returns analyzed from the trailing 
four years

Long-Term Historical Alpha

Returns analyzed as the intercept term from a CAPM regression over the past four years

Mid Capitalization

Captures the payoff to the Size factor across the market-cap spectrum

Size

Captures the return differences between large-cap stocks and small-cap stocks

Cube of Size

Standardized Size exposure (log of market capitalization) is cubed following orthogonalized, winsorized and standardized

Log of Market Capitalization

Natural logarithm of market capitalization

Factor descriptions
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    OUR RESEARCH DIFFERENTIATES MSCI FROM THE REST

    Our research differentiates MSCI from the rest

    One of MSCI’s key competitive advantages is our research. We employ one of the largest research teams in our industry with extensive academic credentials and broad financial and investment industry experience. We are dedicated to building the world’s finest index, portfolio construction and risk management tools – working on both developing new factor models and methodologies and enhancing existing ones.

    MSCI‘s rich factor hierarchy is built from the ground-up from aggregated fundamental and technical data.  This is based on extensive research to identify common drivers of risk and return and back tested for relevance across markets and investment strategies. Our in-house team of more than 150 researchers blends academic research with practical experience and is continuously innovating to introduce new factors into risk models. 

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